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Department Faculty

Hal Arkes

Hal Arkes

Ph.D. University of Michigan
B.A. Carleton College

Honors and Awards: President, Society for Judgment and Decision Making 1996-1997. Elected "Fellow" of American Psychological Society 1997. College of Arts & Sciences Outstanding Teacher Award (Ohio University) 1987. Provost's Teaching Recognition Award (Ohio University) 1989, 1990.

Research Areas

Judgment/decision making
Medical decision making
Economic decision making

Selected Publications

Arkes, H. R., Shaffer, V. A., & Medow, M. A. (2008). The Influence of a Physician's Use of a Diagnostic Decision Aid on the Malpractice Verdicts of Mock Jurors. Medical Decision Making, 28, 201-208.
Arkes, H. R., Hirshleifer, D, Jiang, D., & Lim, S. (2008). Reference Point Adaptation: Tests in the Domain of Security Trading. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 105, 67-81.
Arkes, H. R., Shaffer, V. A., & Dawes, R. M. (2006). Comparing holistic and disaggregated ratings in the evaluation of scientific presentations. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 19.
Arkes, H. R. (2003). The non-use of psychological research at two federal agencies. Psychological Science, 14, 1-6.
Arkes, H. R., & Mellers, B. A. (2002). Can juries meet our expectations? Law & Human Behavior, 26, 625-639.
Arkes, H. R. (2000). Why medical errors can't be eliminated: Uncertainties and the hindsight bias. Chronicle of Higher Education, Vol XLVI, No. 37, (May 19), B6.
Arkes, H. R., & Ayton, P. (1999). The sunk cost and Concorde effects: Are humans less rational than lower animals? Psychological Bulletin, 125, 591-600.
Arkes, H. R. (1996). The psychology of waste. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 9, 213-224.
Arkes, H. R., & Schipani, C. A. (1994). Medical malpractice and the business judgment rule: Differences in hindsight bias. Oregon Law Review, 73, 587-638.
Arkes, H. R., et al. (1994). The psychology of windfall gains. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 59, 331-347.
Dawson, N. V., Connors, A. F. Jr., Speroff, T., Kemka, A., Shaw, P., & Arkes, H. R. (1993). Hemodynamic assessment in the critically ill: Is physician confidence warranted? Medical Decision Making, 13, 258-266.
Arkes, H. R. (1991). The costs and benefits of judgment errors: Implications for debiasing. Psychological Bulletin, 110, 48-498.
Arkes, H. R. (1989) Some principles in the judgment/decision making literature pertinent to law. Behavioral Sciences and the Law, 7, 429-456.
Dawson, N. V., Arkes, H. R., et al. (1988). Hindsight bias: An impediment to accurate probability estimation in clinicopathologic conferences. Medical Decision Making, 8, 259-264.
Arkes, H. R., & Blumer, C. (1985). The psychology of sunk cost. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 35, 124-140.


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