Research Areas
Judgment/decision makingMedical decision making
Economic decision making
Hal Arkes
Ph.D. University of MichiganB.A. Carleton College
Honors and Awards: President, Society for Judgment and Decision Making 1996-1997. Elected "Fellow" of American Psychological Society 1997. College of Arts & Sciences Outstanding Teacher Award (Ohio University) 1987. Provost's Teaching Recognition Award (Ohio University) 1989, 1990.
Medical decision making
Economic decision making
Selected Publications
Arkes, H. R., Shaffer, V. A., & Dawes, R. M. (2006). Comparing holistic and disaggregated ratings in the evaluation of scientific presentations. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 19.
Arkes, H. R. (2003). The non-use of psychological research at two federal agencies. Psychological Science, 14, 1-6.
Arkes, H. R., & Mellers, B. A. (2002). Can juries meet our expectations? Law & Human Behavior, 26, 625-639.
Arkes, H. R. (2000). Why medical errors can't be eliminated: Uncertainties and the hindsight bias. Chronicle of Higher Education, Vol XLVI, No. 37, (May 19), B6.
Lynn, J., Arkes, H. R., Stevens, M., et al. (2000). SUPPORT's lessons about improving care for the seriously ill. Journal of the American Geriatrics Society, 48 (No. 5), 214-221.
Arkes, H. R., & Ayton, P. (1999). The sunk cost and Concorde effects: Are humans less rational than lower animals? Psychological Bulletin, 125, 591-600.
Kmett, C. M., Arkes, H. R., & Jones, S. K. (1999). The influence of decision aids on high school students' satisfaction with their college choice decision. Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin, 25, 1293-1301.
Arkes, H. R. (1996). The psychology of waste. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 9, 213-224.
Arkes, H. R., & Schipani, C. A. (1994). Medical malpractice and the business judgment rule: Differences in hindsight bias. Oregon Law Review, 73, 587-638.
Arkes, H. R., et al. (1994). The psychology of windfall gains. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 59, 331-347.
Dawson, N. V., Connors, A. F. Jr., Speroff, T., Kemka, A., Shaw, P., & Arkes, H. R. (1993). Hemodynamic assessment in the critically ill: Is physician confidence warranted? Medical Decision Making, 13, 258-266.
Arkes, H. R. (1991). The costs and benefits of judgment errors: Implications for debiasing. Psychological Bulletin, 110, 48-498.
Arkes, H. R. (1989) Some principles in the judgment/decision making literature pertinent to law. Behavioral Sciences and the Law, 7, 429-456.
Dawson, N. V., Arkes, H. R., et al. (1988). Hindsight bias: An impediment to accurate probability estimation in clinicopathologic conferences. Medical Decision Making, 8, 259-264.
Arkes, H. R., & Blumer, C. (1985). The psychology of sunk cost. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 35, 124-140.
